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England v Germany betting tips: Three Lions seek Wembley revenge

| 29.06.2021

Preview and odds for the round-of-16 match

Wembley hosts a blockbuster tie on Tuesday and we have analysed the odds to pick out some potential England v Germany betting tips.

Having found themselves in the weakest half of the draw, both teams will believe they have a realistic chance of going all the way and are among the favourites in the Euro 2020 winner odds.

England have home advantage but Germany have the better pedigree at major tournaments as we assess where the much-anticipated game could be won or lost.

Tuesday’s match is live on BBC One and kicks off at 8pm.

England v Germany match odds

England’s last-16 opponents changed on numerous occasions on Wednesday and all four teams in Group F were heading to Wembley at various times but eventually it was Germany who finished runners-up behind France.

They made hard work of it after twice coming from behind to rescue a 2-2 draw against Hungary, with Leon Goretzka grabbing the all-important equaliser in the 84th minute.

Having already lost to France, Germany do not look a team to be feared as much as at previous tournaments and England have been priced up as the 4/5 favourites to go through with Germany available at evens.

Gareth Southgate’s men are 31/20 to win in 90 minutes while Germany are 19/10 in the same market, with 21/10 available for the match to go to extra time.

Germany will surely need to improve on their performance against Hungary but coach Joachim Low insists not too much should be read into that display.

Thomas Muller will be out to send the hosts packing in the England v Germany betting tips

“Hungary parked the bus, with everyone behind the ball, entering every duel and against England it’s going to be a totally different match,” he said.

“They play at home, they want to attack. It’s going to be an open match, more open than it was tonight.

“We need to improve on things, we’re aware of that and we need to be careful, especially at set-pieces. We can’t repeat the same mistakes again.

“But as I said, it’s a different match against England and we’re looking forward to it.”

England are yet to hit top gear either having managed just two goals on their way to winning their group but they are yet to concede at least and the return of Harry Maguire in the 1-0 win against the Czech Republic was a boost.

Under 1.5 goals has paid out in all five of England’s matches this summer – including two warm-up games – and that trend is 9/5 to continue.

England are 3/1 to win to nil once more and 13/2 for a fifth 1-0 win in six games.

England v Germany head-to-head

Recent history favours Germany who have won three of the last five meetings, although the most recent was a friendly in 2017 which ended goalless.

There have been very different outcomes in the last two competitive clashes, with Germany thrashing England 4-1 at the 2010 World Cup but the Three Lions famously winning 5-1 in qualifying for the 2002 edition.

Gareth Southgate has bad memories of England v Germany

This fixture will revive memories of the Euro 96 semi-final at Wembley when the teams drew 1-1 after extra time before Southgate missed a penalty as Germany won the shoot-out.

Either side can be backed at 12/1 to win on penalties while patriotic punters looking for revenge in the England v Germany betting tips may like 25/1 for a 1-1 draw after extra time and England to win on penalties.

Previous XI

England vs Germany - Football tactics and formations
England: Pickford, Walker, Shaw, Stones, Maguire, Rice, Grealish, Phillips, Saka, Kane, Sterling.

Germany: Neuer, Rudiger, Ginter, Hummels, Gosens, Kimmich, Havertz, Kroos, Gundogan, Gnabry, Sane.

Team news

Southgate has no fresh concerns to contend with heading into the game but a decision needs to be taken on the availability of Mason Mount and Ben Chilwell, who again trained away from the other 24 players on Monday which was their last day of isolation.

Key battles

There are interesting match-ups all over the pitch, particularly on England’s right where Kyle Walker’s pace will be important when he comes up against former Manchester City team-mate Leroy Sane.

Declan Rice and Kalvin Phillips will hope to shackle Toni Kroos in midfield while Harry Kane will need to beat one of the best goalkeepers in the world in Manuel Neuer if he is finally to get off the mark.

The England striker won the golden boot at the 2018 World Cup but is yet to find the net at the Euros, although he remains the 7/2 favourite in the first goalscorer odds.

Raheem Sterling is the more likely Euro 2020 top scorer now for England and is 14/5 to add to the two goals he scored in the group stage while Chelsea man Kai Havertz is in fine form and is 7/2 to increase his two-goal tally for Germany.

View the latest Euro 2020 winner odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.