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Norwich v Brighton betting tips: Seagulls win would end 95-year record

| 11.10.2021
SPORTSBOOK ODDS

Preview and odds for Saturday’s Premier League clash

The struggling Canaries host the high-flying Seagulls in the Premier League on Saturday so we look at the odds to find some Norwich v Brighton betting tips.

Norwich are rock bottom despite picking up a valuable point at Burnley last time, while Brighton were held to a similar goalless draw at home by Arsenal.

Saturday’s match, which takes place at Carrow Road, kicks off at 3pm.

Norwich v Brighton match odds

Norwich earned their first point since being promoted when holding possible relegation rivals Burnley to a 0-0 draw at Turf Moor ahead of the international break.

That result ended their 16-game losing streak in the Premier League, although Daniel Farke’s side await their first win and they are 13/5 to get it against Brighton.

It is worth noting that Norwich have not kept back-to-back clean sheets in the competition since March 2016 and it is 29/10 that they break that trend on Saturday.

Norwich are 1/5 in the Premier League relegation odds and little wonder – they have the fewest goals (two), fewest different goalscorers (one – Teemu Pukki), lowest shot conversion rate (2.8%) and fewest shots on target (17) in the Premier League this season. They have also conceded the most goals in the league with 16.

Brighton sit sixth in the table with 14 points, just two behind leaders Chelsea, having won four and drawn two of their seven games, with their sole defeat coming at home to Everton.

Graham Potter’s side are 11/10 to win at Carrow Road, while the draw is on offer at 9/4 in the Norwich v Brighton betting tips.

Norwich v Brighton head-to-head

Norwich lost both Premier League meetings with Brighton when they last met in 2019-20, having lost just two of their previous 13 league meetings with the Seagulls (W9 D2).

Brighton won 1-0 at Carrow Road in their last away game against Norwich but have not won back-to-back league visits to the Canaries since October 1926, when the sides competed in the Third Division South. It is 7/10 that Norwich win or draw the game on the Double Chance market.

The last five meetings saw one or other side fail to score and it is 5/6 for that trend to end and both sides find the net in the Norwich v Brighton betting tips.

Norwich v Brighton key battles

For Farke, the battle is a simple one: find a goalscorer from somewhere. Norwich have failed to score more than once in any of their last 25 Premier League matches, netting just seven goals in total in this run.

No side has ever had a longer such run in the competition’s history and the odds for Norwich to score twice or more are 11/5.

Pukki is the most likely scorer. The Finn has netted both Norwich goals this season and it is 18/1 that he scores the first goal and Norwich draw the game. He is 15/8 to score at any time.

Brighton haven’t conceded more than twice in any of their last 28 league games. Indeed, of ever-present teams in the top flight, only Chelsea (21) and Manchester City (23) have conceded fewer goals than Brighton (26) this calendar year. Brighton are 12/5 to win to nil.

Norwich are also slow starters. They are the only side yet to take the lead in a Premier League match this season.

Indeed, the Canaries haven’t led in any of their last 11 games in the competition. It is 29/20 that they end that trend and score the first goal.

View the latest Norwich v Brighton odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Simon Milham