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Watford v Aston Villa betting tips: Villans must buck history

| 09.08.2021
SPORTSBOOK ODDS

Preview and odds for Saturday’s Premier League clash

The newly-promoted Hornets host the Villans in a fascinating Premier League opener and we have studied the odds to find some Watford v Aston Villa betting tips.

Watford make an instant return to the top flight after finishing runners-up in the Championship while Villa begin life without talisman Jack Grealish.

Saturday’s match, which takes place at Vicarage Road, kicks off at 3.00pm.

Watford v Aston Villa match odds

Watford have had a busy summer in the transfer market, bringing in nine players, and they are 23/10 to get their campaign off to a winning start.

The Hornets had five years in the top flight before relegation, but they have bounced straight back and Xisco Munoz has made a few shrewd signings, meaning Watford are 9/1 to finish in the top half of the Premier League.

Those signings include promising French-Moroccan midfielder Imran Louza, who arrives on a five-year deal after scoring seven times in 35 French Ligue 1 games for Nantes.

The signing of centre-back Mattie Pollock from Grimsby is arguably great business at an initial fee of £250,000.

Watford have done well to keep hold of Ismaila Sarr, who was their top scorer in the Championship with 13 goals. If they can fend off offers for the Senegalese winger and the new signings click, their odds of evens to be relegated will look laughable.

The £100million sale of club captain Grealish to Manchester City meant funds were available to strengthen and Villa wasted no time in bringing in Southampton striker Danny Ings (pictured below) and Leon Bailey.

Villa bolstered their ranks with a £95m spend as Emiliano Buendia became Villa’s club-record buy from Norwich for a fee that could rise to £38m.

Midfielder Buendia was crucial in the Canaries’ Championship-winning campaign last season, while winger Bailey impressed at Bayer Leverkusen, scoring nine goals.

Axel Tuanzebe’s arrival on loan from Manchester United enhances Villa’s already-impressive backline and they look a better side on paper than they did last season when finishing 11th.

Villa are 11/10 for a top-half Premier League finish and are 6/1 for a top-six finish while for Watford v Aston Villa betting tips they are 5/4 to win while the draw is on offer at 23/10.

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Watford v Aston Villa head-to-head

In 21 meetings since 1969, Watford have won eight and lost eight, with five games drawn.

The Hornets have won three of the last four meetings, however, and are 5/1 to win but concede.

There were over 2.5 goals in 22 of Villa’s 38 league games last season and the last four clashes between these sides yielded three or more goals. It is 19/20 for that to be the case again.

Interestingly, there have only ever been two away wins in their 21 meetings and Watford have won their last nine competitive matches at home. It is 4/6 for Watford to win or draw the game on the Double Chance market.

Watford v Aston Villa team news

Villa have a few injury concerns. Buendia missed back-to-back pre-season games due to a hip issue and last season’s top scorer Ollie Watkins came off against Salernitana with a thigh injury.

Morgan Sanson hasn’t trained all summer due to complications with a knee injury picked up in April, while Bertrand Traore has only just returned from a groin operation he had in June.

Egyptian midfielder Trezeguet is ruled out and Douglas Luiz is not expected back for a week or two after playing for Brazil at the Olympics. Striker Keinan Davis is also currently sidelined.

Villa are 19/10 to keep a clean sheet and it is 17/20 that they score the first goal in Watford v Aston Villa betting tips.

Watford v Aston Villa key battles

The Hornets will fancy their chances of getting at Villa’s full-backs and Sarr is a handful at the best of times. He may give Ashley Young a torrid time if the veteran defender is in the line-up against his former club.

Much depends on Villa’s treatment table and in front of a full house, Watford will spy an upset. They are 9/2 to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the game.

View the latest Premier League odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Simon Milham