Matteo Berrettini features in our Wimbledon betting tips today
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Wimbledon betting tips: Berrettini can repeat Italy success

| 07.07.2021

Preview and odds for Friday’s men’s semi-finals

The last four men standing do battle to reach Sunday’s final after an epic fortnight at The Championships, and we will continue to pick out Wimbledon betting tips every day.

The men’s singles tournament has seen a few upsets along the way, and the two semi-finals in prospect at the All England Club on Friday should provide us with a few more thrills while we have also previewed the ladies’ singles final on Saturday.

Matteo Berrettini v Hubert Hurkacz

Berrettini has reached a second Grand Slam semi-final after the 2019 US Open, and with his fellow countrymen reaching football’s Euro 2020 final, will hope he can make it an incredible sporting Sunday for Italy, should he progress to the showpiece on Centre Court.

The 25-year-old Italian had a great grass-court stretch in 2019, winning a title in Stuttgart and living up to his top-seed billing at Queen’s Club last month, taking another title.

A French Open quarter-finalist on clay at Roland Garros, he also took his fifth ATP Tour title at the Serbia Open and has won 31 of his 36 matches this year.

The seventh seed has produced powerful performances to sweep aside Botic Van de Zandschulp, Aljaz Bedene, Ilya Ivashka and Guido Pella to reach the Wimbledon quarter-finals.

His last-eight match was not an easy one and it could have gone either way, but having taken a close third set, Berrettini’s big serve ultimately put too much pressure on his good friend Felix Auger-Aliassime, with the Canadian succumbing in four sets 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-3. It is 13/8 that this semi-final will be won in four sets.

Berrettini is 2/5 to advance to the final and interestingly has won each of the first sets in his last 10 grass-court matches. It is 1/2 that he takes the first set against his 14th-seeded opponent and he is 11/2 to win the title.

Hurkacz has been hot and cold all year. Having scorched through to a Miami Masters victory, he then proceeded to lose six of his next seven matches (four on clay, two on grass) and was brushed aside by Auger-Aliassime in his first match at Halle.

It was far from ideal preparation for Wimbledon, yet the 24-year-old Pole has grown in confidence, defeating Lorenzo Musetti, Marcus Giron and Alexander Bublik on route to a last-16 clash with number two seed Daniil Medvedev.

Medvedev was leading two sets to one on Court Two when rain delayed the match, only to be continued on Centre Court the following day.

Hurkacz took advantage of Medvedev errors and within an hour, he had closed out the match in five sets.

Though showing nerves in the early stages of his quarter-final clash with Roger Federer, he hung in against the 20-times Grand Slam champion and the 6ft 5in Pole’s big serve, elegant drop shots and fine return of serve to the Federer backhand, meant the 39-year-old unravelled alarmingly, going out 6-3 7-6 6-0.

After the biggest win of his career, Hurkacz is 19/10 to win the semi-final and is Evens to win more than one set.

The pair have met twice before, both on outdoor hard courts, with Berrettini taking their 2018 Australian Open second-round qualifier 7-6 6-3, and Hurkacz winning their 2019 Miami Masters clash 6-4 6-3.

Hurkacz is 10/1 to win the Wimbledon’s men’s singles title.

Novak Djokovic v Denis Shapovalov

World number one Djokovic is now two wins away from a record-equalling 20th men’s grand slam title and such is his dominance at present, he is 1/4 to do so.

Having won the Australian Open and French Open titles already this year, another success at the All England Club will see him equal the joint tally held by Federer and Rafael Nadal.

The Serb has barely been tested throughout this tournament and has dropped just one set on his passage to the semi-finals.

The five-time Wimbledon champion and double defending champion – having won the previous two titles here in 2018 and 2019 – looked tense in his quarter-final with Hungary’s Marton Fucsovics but triumphed 6-3-6-4 6-4 for his 100th grass-court victory.

Djokovic has lost three semi-finals at Wimbledon over his 15 previous visits; in 2007 to Nadal, 2012 to Federer and 2017 to Tomas Berdych, the first and last of which when bowing out through injury.

Djokovic is 1/12 to win the semi-final and 8/13 to do so in straight sets.

Novak Djokovic plays in the second match in today's Wimbledon betting tips

The odds are stacked against world number 12 Shapovalov, the immensely talented 22-year-old left-handed Canadian.

He has come of age over the past fortnight, having started his campaign with a five-set success over Philipp Kohlschreiber. A walkover in the second round then set up a clash with crowd favourite Andy Murray, a mental test he overcame well.

Having seen off a dogged Roberto Bautista Agut in the last 16, he then came from 2-1 down to defeat Karen Khachanov in a cracking five-set quarter-final.

Shapovalov has failed to beat Djokovic in six previous meetings, but did manage to take a set off the champion on two occasions.

The odds for Shapavalov to win this match are 7/1, and he is 12/1 to win the Wimbledon men’s singles title.

He would have some chance of blitzing Djokovic with his big service game if this was a three-set contest, but over five sets, this looks a much tougher ask.

Shapavalov is 6/5 to win a set and it is 11/10 that there will be 35 or more total games in the match.

View the latest Wimbledon odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.